How Accurate Are Steve Nison'S Candlestick Predictions?

2025-09-09 07:21:22 111

4 Answers

Carly
Carly
2025-09-11 07:16:09
Nison’s candlestick theories? Solid foundation, but markets laugh at foundations. I’ve seen textbook perfect head-and-shoulders patterns implode during earnings season. His work’s best treated as one tool among many—like using a hammer when you need a whole toolbox. Still, spotting a dark cloud cover before a drop never gets old.
Dana
Dana
2025-09-11 08:36:37
Candlestick patterns have been part of my trading toolkit for years, and Steve Nison's work is undeniably foundational. His books like 'Japanese Candlestick Charting Techniques' break down complex patterns into digestible insights. However, markets evolve—what worked in the '90s might not capture today’s algorithmic volatility. I’ve found some patterns (doji, engulfing) still reliable in trending markets, but false signals happen often during consolidation.

Nison himself emphasizes context—like pairing candles with volume or moving averages. Blindly relying on candles without broader analysis feels like reading one page of a novel and guessing the ending. That said, his methods taught me patience; spotting a morning star after a downtrend still gives me that 'aha' moment.
Victoria
Victoria
2025-09-11 21:57:15
Back in college, my finance professor swore by Nison’s techniques, so I tested them on 10 years of S&P 500 data. The results? Mixed. Reversal patterns worked ~60% of the time—better than a coin flip, but hardly foolproof. What fascinates me is the psychology behind them. A shooting star isn’t just a shape; it reflects traders losing conviction at highs. Nison’s real contribution was translating centuries-old rice traders’ wisdom into modern TA. These days, I use candles more for storytelling—highlighting sentiment shifts—than pure prediction.
Harper
Harper
2025-09-14 11:02:53
As a day trader who dabbles in crypto, candlesticks are my bread and butter. Nison’s predictions? They’re like an old map—useful but not GPS-accurate. Crypto’s 24/7 madness adds wrinkles you won’t find in his books. Hammer patterns? Sometimes they bounce, sometimes they get crushed by a whale dump. I respect his legacy, but modern traders need to adapt. Combining his patterns with order flow data keeps me sane when BTC decides to moon or crash on a tweet.
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