How Did Milton Friedman Respond To Keynesian Economics?

2025-08-31 03:04:37 160

4 Answers

Noah
Noah
2025-09-01 04:32:36
I like to imagine Friedman as the scrappy empiricist pushing back on Keynesian confidence in fiscal fine-tuning. He respected Keynes's focus on aggregate demand in downturns but insisted that inflation, money supply, and expectations were the missing pieces. His 1957 ideas on consumption — later called the 'permanent income hypothesis' — argued people smooth consumption over time, so temporary tax cuts or spending spikes might not boost demand as much as Keynesians expected.

Friedman also reframed the Phillips curve debate. Instead of a stable trade-off you could exploit, he said workers and firms would adapt their expectations, so trying to keep unemployment low with excessive inflation only backfires in the long run. That insight pushed central banks to prioritize stable money growth and anti-inflation credibility. I find that tension still alive today when economists argue over stimulus versus monetary policy; Friedman's fingerprints are everywhere, even in modern debates about rules versus discretion.
Holden
Holden
2025-09-03 13:36:21
When I first dug into the history of macro debates, Friedman's response to Keynes felt like watching a calm but relentless counterargument unfold. He didn't throw out Keynes's observations entirely — he acknowledged short-run demand effects — but he reframed the mechanism. Friedman put the spotlight on money: the quantity theory, stable velocity assumptions (with caveats), and the idea that changes in the money supply play a decisive role in nominal income and inflation. His empirical work with Anna Schwartz in 'A Monetary History of the United States, 1867–1960' was his hammer, showing correlations between money growth and economic fluctuations that, to him, Keynesian fiscal prescriptions overlooked.

Beyond empirical claims, Friedman attacked the theoretical underpinnings. He introduced the 'permanent income' view of consumption to challenge the Keynesian consumption function, and he developed the natural rate hypothesis: monetary policy can only change unemployment in the short run because people form expectations. That led to his critique of the Phillips curve — inflation and unemployment trade-offs vanish once expectations adjust. Practically, he favored monetary rules (think the k-percent rule) and limited discretionary fiscal activism. Reading his debates gives me chills — it's the kind of intellectual sparring that reshaped policy for decades, and it still colors how I read every central bank statement.
Nolan
Nolan
2025-09-03 19:42:30
I sometimes tell friends that Friedman was the contrarian who made Keynesianism re-examine its blind spots. He didn't deny recessions or demand slumps, but he argued that ignoring money and expectations leads to bad policy. Two of his moves stuck with me: first, the permanent income idea showing consumption responds more to lifetime income than to temporary fiscal tinkering; second, the expectations-augmented Phillips curve which says any inflation-unemployment trade-off dissolves as people anticipate inflation.

His policy prescription was simple-sounding: steady, predictable monetary growth and skepticism about activist fiscal management. That practical nudge—less discretionary spending sprees and more monetary discipline—still shapes how I read economic commentary, especially when inflation fears rear up.
Yvette
Yvette
2025-09-06 15:11:32
On a late-night bus ride back from a seminar I once sketched Friedman's critique across the margin of my notebook. He wasn't simply arguing against Keynes with slogans; he built an alternate toolkit. Chronologically, his early methodological pieces set the stage, but by the 1950s and 1960s he had concrete alternatives: the permanent income hypothesis attacked the Keynesian consumption function by modeling forward-looking behavior; his collaboration on 'A Monetary History of the United States, 1867–1960' provided empirical ammunition; and his 1968 presidential address to economists crystallized the policy thrust — emphasize monetary stability and expectational dynamics.

Conceptually, Friedman's key moves were to reassert the quantity theory in modern terms and to introduce expectations into macro relationships. That produced the natural rate idea: policy can affect real variables only temporarily. He also recommended rules like a steady money growth rate to avoid discretionary errors and political cycles of inflationary policy. To me, the most interesting part is how this changed practice: central banks increasingly focus on inflation control and credibility, and debates about fiscal multipliers still echo Friedman's doubts about short-lived stimulus. It's a deep pivot from demand-first thinking to a framework where money, expectations, and microfoundations matter.
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